Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Lucky Number Seven

While it has been nine years, there is some compelling playoff history between the Thunderbirds and Portland Winterhawks from the new millenium. Twice since 2001 the teams have battled in the postseason and each time the series went the full compliment of seven games and each time, the lower seeded team prevailed meaning the Game 7 winner was the road team.

In each situation it was a first round playoff matchup. Back in the spring of 2002, my first season with the team, they met in the postseason. Portland, which had captured the U.S. Division that season with a record of 36-25-5-6, and dominated the regular season series between the two rivals, was the prohibitive favorite. In fact, with only nine teams in the conference at that time, Seattle made the playoffs that year, with a record 19 games below .500 (21-40-6-5), only because the expansion Vancouver Giants were just marginally worse.

This was also back when the first round of the playoffs were similar to this season, and stayed within the division. So despite having the worst record of all playoff qualifiers from the Western Conference, the T-birds didn't face Kamloops,the conference #1 seed in round one, but rather the U.S. Division #1 seed, which happened to be Portland. An interesting tidbit from that season that may have helped Seattle. They were the only U.S. Division team to enter the playoffs off a win. The other three teams, Portland, Spokane and Tri-City lost their final regular season game while the T-birds were riding a modest two game winning streak which started with a 5-4 overtime victory over the 'Hawks.

The playoff series started out as though it would follow the the proper script, with the heavily favored Winterhawks taking the first game down at the Rose Garden, 4-3. The series took an unexpected turn though in Game 2 when Seattle's Brooks Laich scored an unassisted power play goal late in the 2nd period to break a 2-2 tie. The T-birds would add three more in the third, including two from Greg Black, to earn a 6-2 win and even the series at 1-1.

Seattle carried the momentum from that win into Game 3 at KeyArena. Once again Laich provided the game winner, scoring with just three and a half minutes left in the game to secure a 3-2 T-birds victory and forge a 2-1 series lead. But the T-birds couldn't hold onto home ice advantage as Portland came back to the Key two nights later and earned their own 3-2 win when Josh Olson scored midway through the final frame to break another 2-2 tie.

The series shifted back to Portland for Game 5. Seattle got an early goal from Jake Riddle but Portland peppered the Seattle net with 45 shots. T-birds goalie Nick Pannoni stood tall though and earned the shutout in the 1-0 win, putting Seattle one win from a big playoff upset, and knowing Game 6 would be back on home ice the next night. Instead of celebrating a series win back home though, the T-birds could muster little in the way of offense, creating only 20 shots on goal. Winterhawks netminder Lanny Ramage stopped them all and, led by two more Josh Hanson goals, Portland forced a decisive 7th game back down in the Rose City with a 4-0 victory to even the series at 3-3.

Game 7 was, like the series, a back and forth affair. The Winterhawks struck first, a John Togiai goal at 13:13 of the first. Seattle scored twice in the second, courtesy of Laich and Tyler Metcalfe, and headed into the second intermission up by a goal. The lead held up until 14:29 of the third period when Portland tied it on a Craig Vallette goal. 17-seconds after the Vallette goal though, Winterhawk Brad Priestlay took a slashing minor that put Seattle on the power play. One minute into the power play the T-birds scored to regain the lead on a Trevor Johnson blast.

That Johnson goal turned out to be the game winner but the final few minutes of the contest were not without their drama as Seattle's Eric Benke was assessed a holding minor at 17:29. So Seattle spent a good chunk of the last two minutes of the game shorthanded. Once again Pannoni was one of the heroes for the T-birds making 48 saves as Seattle was outshot on the night 50-31.

So Seattle pulled off the big upset but it would be their last hurrah that season. They were swept in the second round by the eventual WHL Champion Kootenay Ice (yes Kootenay was in the Western Conference back then). The Thunderbirds did use it as a springboard into the next season though, going 44-22-3-3, capturing the U.S. Division title and made it to the Western Conference Finals where they fell to Kelowna.

The two rivals would not meet again in the postseason until the spring of 2006. This time around Seattle had home ice advantage after finishing four points ahead of the Winterhawks in the U.S. Division. Seattle finished second to Everett that year but their 35-31-1-5 record was just marginally better then Portland which finished with a 32-32-3-5 mark. the series started off at KeyArena with fireworks as Seattle beat Portland in Game 1, 8-5. The T-birds actually trailed 5-3 midway through the second period before potting the game's last five goals. Chris Durand had a hat trick and Bud Holloway added two of his own in the win.

Game 2 at the Key the following night was the complete opposite. Durand took a high sticking penalty 52-seconds into the game, Kyle Bailey scored a power play goal for Portland twenty seconds later and that was it in a 1-0 Portland win. The Winterhawks left Seattle with a split of the first two game thanks to Kurtis Mucha's 18 save shutout.

The T-birds were able to return the favor down in Portland. After dropping Game 3, 2-1, to the Winterhawks on a pair of Brian Woolger third period goals, Seattle came back to win Game 4, 6-3, thanks to two goals each from Durand and Tyler Johnson. The series shifted back to KeyArena for Game 5 but a Brandon Dubinsky hat trick earned Portland the 3-2 win and a chance to close out the series at home in Game 6 at the Rose Garden. Once again though, the road team prevailed. Aaron Gagnon scored the game winner midway through the second period, Ryan Gibbons chipped in with two assist and Bryan Bridges turned aside 36 shot in a 5-2 T-birds win that sent the series back to Seattle for a deciding Game 7.

That 7th and deciding game started out like it would be a runaway win for Seattle and smooth sailing into the second round. The T-birds got off to a three goal lead thanks to Gagnon, who scored thrice, completing the natural hat trick with a shorthanded goal at 14:48 of the first period. The complexion of the game changed though, early in the second period. No-touch icing had not yet made its way to the WHL and on a race for a puck the Winterhawks Bailey, flying down the ice at full speed, slammed his skate blade into the bottom of the end boards where it got caught resulting in a horrific leg injury. It also created a long delay while medical staff tended to Bailey and took all necessary precautions to stretcher him off the ice.

The boisterous crowd at KeyArena fell silent and when play resumed the T-birds were flat. They couldn't recapture the momentum they had through the first 25 minutes of the game. Seattle wasted two second period power play chances. Then they took three penalties of their own. The Winterhawks took advantage, scoring twice with the man advantage with Dubinsky scoring one and assisting on the other. The second of those two was scored with just 22 seconds left in the second period to cut the 'Birds lead to 3-2. Once again in the third period Seattle's power play failed them and shortly after they couldn't convert on the man advantage Portland's Jannik Hanson would pot the tying goal at the 14 minute mark.

The game ended up going to overtime and halfway through the first extra period, on the only shot of overtime, Jonathan Bubnick ended it giving the 'Hawks the win and the series. Like Seattle back in 2002, that would be Portland's last hurrah. Vancouver, who would go on to win the league title, eliminated them in the second round, winning that series in five games. In fact it would be another four years before Portland would taste the playoffs again.

So two playoff series between these two longtime rivals over the past 14 seasons and each went seven games with the underdog winning both times. What does 2015 have in store? More of the same?

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Playoffs! We're Talkin' Playoffs!

While it is certainly no indicator of how things will unfold in the playoffs, Seattle enters the postseason playing some of their best hockey. The T-birds, playing four games in five nights the final week with a long road trek in the middle, won all four and completed the month of March portion of the regular season schedule with a record of 7-2-0-1.

What I particularly like about the final week was the players mind set did not change after they had wrapped up their final position in the standings. For the past two weeks the T-birds have essentially been locked into third place in the U.S. Division. There was no chance to climb up or fall down from that spot. They could have just gone through the motions the final week, since essentially there was nothing at stake other then finishing fourth overall in the Western Conference standings. Instead they played the right way, treating each contest as if it mattered.

And truthfully, in three of those four games there was something on the line for the opponent. Tuesday they faced a Tri-City team trying to cling on to the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Wednesday up in Kelowna the Rockets were still in a race with Brandon for the Scotty Munro trophy and last night the Winterhawks needed a win, or at least a point, if they were to catch Everett for first place in the U.S. Division. Seattle wasn't going to roll over and give those teams what they needed. They played their best. Only versus Spokane Friday night was there nothing on the line and yet it may have been the T-birds best effort of the four wins.

Anyone else notice that with Alexander True back in the lineup Seattle went 4-0? The big, lanky Danish center gives them another option on the penalty kill, another player who can win face offs, someone willing to go to the net and foremost, his return just increases the team's depth. It's just too bad the team won't get Keegan Kolesar back anytime soon from his arm injury. This means the Thunderbirds played their entire 72 game regular season and will go into the postseason without ever having a completely, 100 percent, healthy roster.

And while the focus is on the here and now the Thunderbirds used back up goalie, and future number one netminder, Logan Flodell in goal versus their two toughest opponents this week (Kelowna and Portland) and all he did was go 2-0 with a goals against average just slightly under 2.50 while stopping 55 of 60 shots in 123 minutes of work. As a result Flodell finished the regular season with a 3-2-0-1 record a 2.75 GAA and a .907 save percentage.

Maybe the most encouraging sign from the last week of the regular season was the offensive production. Prior to this past week, Seattle had scored 195 goals in 68 games, a 2.87 average per game. In the four wins this past week they scored 23 times. or 5.75 goals per game. And while a good chunk of that goal production came from their top line, they got solid offensive contributions up and down the lineup. Just harken back to Tuesday's 7-3 win over Tri-City when Scott Eansor had his hat trick. Let's not forget 16 year old rookie Nolan Volcan who chipped in this past week with a goal and four assists. That increase in goal production didn't come at the expense of team defense either. The T-birds still limited their opponents to just 10 goals in the four games.

So, now it is on to the playoffs and a first round match up with long time rival Portland. It's been awhile since these two teams met in the postseason. To bring home that point, the last playoff game between these two sides was played at KeyArena nine years ago. When they have gotten together in postseason play, they've been intense series. In fact the last two times they met in the playoffs the series went the full seven games with the lower seed winning each time.

The T-bird fared well this season against the Winterhawks going 7-4-1-0. Of course that means nothing now. Everyone starts the playoffs 0-0. The Thunderbirds have to play each playoff game the way they played the last week of the regular season. They need to make every shift count. They have to eliminate the casual moments and they have to get contributions from all 20 players dressed each night. Let the second season begin!

Every year after the final horn of the final home game the players gather on the ice for the end of season awards presentation. There were no real surprises with Taran Kozun getting top honors as the team's 2014-15 MVP and record setter Shea Theodore as the team's Defenseman of the Year. Evan Wardley was recognized for his work in the local community, especially the anti-bullying campaign at local elementary schools, with the Humanitarian of the Year award. The toughest call might have been Rookie of the Year on a team with 10 first year players but it's hard to quarrel with the selection of Donovan Neuls, who I'm sure just edged out Nolan Volcan for that honor. Neuls took home two honors as his teammates voted him the Most Dedicated Player this season.

One honor the team doesn't hand out but one I will, is Most Unsung Player. I just want some way to recognize the play of defenseman Jerret Smith. First of all, Snith was an iron man; just one of two players to suit up and play in all 72 games (Scott Eansor was the other). When Theodore was absent from the lineup most of the first half of the season, Smith was the one constant, steady rock back on the Seattle blue line. He logged a mountain of ice time yet was only assessed 25 minutes in penalties. He shattered his previous high in points by producing 11 goals and 27 assists and finishing the season at +11. With so many scouts at Seattle games this season I would not be surprised to see him get an invite to an NHL camp next fall with a chance to earn a professional contract. If he is back next season, I could definitely see a "C" on his jersey.

Three Stars for this past week:

Honarable Mentions: The line of Eansor-Volcan-Spencer. They've been quite the revelation this past week. A shutdown line that can also produce plenty of offense.

Third Star: Goalie Logan Flodell. Not only did he win his two starts, besting the Western Conference's #1 and #3 seeds in the process, but more importantly saved a little wear and tear on Taran Kozun going into the playoffs as Kozun got a couple of nights off.

Second Star: Matt Barzal. The second year center from Coquitlam, B.C. may still not be 100 percent from that knee injury but 95 percent of Barzal is better then 100 percent of a lot of players in this league. He's hitting his stride at the right time of the season, just as the playoffs arrive. After missing half the season due to that injury still almost came back to win the team's scoring title. On pace for a 93 point season had he never been hurt, although I think he would have easily topped 100.

First Star: Ryan Gropp. The biggest beneficiary of Barzal's play this week was Gropp. Like Barzal, the Kamloops, B.C. native is playing his best hockey at the right time. He finishes the regular season as the team's top point producer (58) and goal scorer (30). It didn't seem possible he would reach the 30 goal plateau but he notched six in the final two games to reach that milestone. He showed his good hands with a few of those goals too.

Monday, March 16, 2015

No Sprint to the Finish

The Thunderbirds have played 35 games over the past 80 days. That's a lot of hockey the second half of the season and they're not done. Seattle will finish the regular season with a flurry, playing four games in five nights beginning Tuesday when they host Tri-City at the ShoWare Center.

And the T-birds aren't just playing out the string either. All four games could have ramifications for the upcoming playoffs. Tri-City for instance is in a dogfight with Kamloops and Prince George for the Western Conference's final playoff spot, the second wild card, and a date with Kelowna in the postseason's first round. The Americans have been an injury laden team the second half but have gotten their starting goaltending tandem back and that and their defense are the strength of their team.

Speaking of Kelowna, that's where the Thunderbirds will be Wednesday night to face a Rockets team that is embroiled in a battle with Brandon for the Scotty Munro Trophy and the best regular season record in the WHL. Currently Kelowna is two points back of the Wheat Kings and both teams have three games remaining. At stake is home ice advantage throughout the entire postseason.

Friday the T-birds find themselves in Spokane to take on the Chiefs. Seattle currently is five points up on Spokane for third place in the U.S. Division. The 'Birds enter the week in the driver's seat but Friday's game could very well decide which team faces Everett and which one will face Portland in the first round.

Finally, Seattle returns home Saturday to close out the regular season with a final regular season battle with Portland. The Winterhawks are neck-and-neck with Everett for first place in the U.S. Division and may need to beat the T-birds to grab the top spot. Everett, meanwhile, will finish the season Sunday in Spokane, so it could be until Sunday night before the T-birds know their first round playoff opponent. Seattle knows they're going to go up against either Everett or Portland in round one. If the Thunderbirds hold on to third place in the division race, they'll face the second place finisher. Should Seattle falter and drop to fourth place, they'd take on the U.S. Division winner in round one. No matter the opponent, the 'Birds will begin the playoffs on the road, either the following Friday in Everett (March 27th) or Saturday (March 28th) in Portland.

Seattle is coming off a weekend in which they split a pair with the Silvertips, with the home team winning each night. As a result, the two division rivals split the ten game series with each winning five games. Seattle pretty much got the result they deserved in each of those games. The Thunderbirds put out a more complete effort Friday at home in earning the 3-2 shootout win. Saturday up in Everett they didn't match the intensity of their opponent, ran into too much penalty trouble and failed to capitalize on the few scoring chances they had in a 3-1 loss.

The one thing that frustrated me about the loss Saturday night was wasting one of your goaltender's best efforts of the season. Taran Kozun was terrific, especially in making 19 saves in the first period as he did his best to give his team every chance to stay in that game. Of course I'm biased but I don't see any other goalie in the league who has been as impactful on his team's success as Kozun has been for the T-birds. No team that has qualified for the playoffs in the WHL has scored fewer goals so far this season then Seattle's 195. No team in the WHL currently with a winning record has scored less then 200 goals. The T-birds goal differential right now is just +4 yet they are nine games over .500. The Thunderbirds knew coming into the season they were going to have one of the youngest forward groups in the league which meant scoring would be at a premium. Seattle is a playoff team because of their defense and Kozun is out in front in that regard, leading the way. With so little offensive support, keeping the puck out the net was imperative for this team and with Kozun between the pipes most nights, Seattle has allowed the third fewest goals in the league.

My T-birds Three Stars for the Weekend:

Third Star: Roberts Lipsbergs. Two goals plus a shootout goal in the Friday night win.

Second Star: Scott Eansor: Once again key to shutting down the top scorers on the other team. Nikita Sherbak, Everett's top scorer and an NHL first round pick collected just one point, a secondary assist, in the two games.

First Star: Taran Kozun. In a U.S. Division and Western Conference rife with excellent goaltending, no one is doing it better then the Nipiwan, Saskatchewan native. When so many of Seattle's wins are decided by a single goal, he's been the difference between winning and losing.

Sunday, March 8, 2015

A March Toward the Playoffs

I'm not going to spend a great deal on the debacle that was the game down in Portland Friday night, but I was having flashbacks to 2012. That was without debate, Seattle's worst performance of the season. To see such a complete lack of compete was utterly out of the norm for this season's team. If you play hard and leave it all out on the ice and still lose, the result is at least palatable because you put in the effort. A good example of that was Monday's shootout loss in Victoria. Seattle played a solid 60-minutes that night and you could argue they deserved a better fate. Friday down at the Moda Center, the 7-1 loss was made doubly hard to watch because the effort was sorely lacking. So many casual moments both on and off the puck and there was no question the defeat was well-earned.

I will say it is kinda cool to be around as a little bit of history is being made. At first watching Oliver Bjorkstrand go off for four goals is a bit gut wrenching because he's doing it at the expense of your team, but it's not often you're going to witness a player, at this level or any other level of hockey, pot 50 goals in 50 games. That's a remarkable feat.

That made the Thunderbirds response Saturday at home against Kamloops all the more important. We're a week into the month of March, the playoffs are looming with just two weeks left in the regular season. The last thing you want is to take a nose dive down the stretch. So to see the team bounce back with a 3-1 win against a Blazers team that has given them trouble this season, was a good sign this team will keep its nose to the grind stone.

By no means was it a perfect win for the T-birds. They got put on their heels the second half of the second period and were probably fortunate to get to the second intermission tied at 1-1. I don't know if it was the T-birds relaxing their effort after scoring the game's first goal or if it was Kamloops using the momentum of the game's first power play to tilt the ice in their direction. Whatever the reason, Seattle spent most of the final half of that period caught in their own end. Fortunately they had Taran Kozun in goal to bail them out as he made 21 saves in the period, mostly over the period's final 13 minutes.

Outside of that stretch Seattle played a strong hockey game. They had a solid, if not spectacular first period. They started the second period well, leading to the game's first goal. And I thought they were the better team in the third, forcing the action that led to the game winning goal.

That goal by the way, for the moment at least, is credited to defenseman Jared Hauf. It was his third goal of the season and he seems to make the most of them. Two of his goals are game winners, the other was the Teddy Bear Toss goal. I'm guessing though, that there will be a review because it certainly looked like the puck hit someone in all the traffic in front of the Blazer net before going into the back of the net. Now, it could have been off a Kamloops player but from his reaction it may have been deflected in by Matt Barzal. Either way, it was a heads up play by Hauf to get the shot off with the goalie screened by a sea of players. Getting consistent traffic in front of the opposing goal has been an issue for Seattle this season but on the two most important goals Saturday, that's exactly what they did it's why they scored.

Here's a rarity. Seattle actually gets a few days off before resuming action with two games this coming weekend. The Thunderbirds just completed their third stretch the second half of the season in which they have played six games in nine nights. Throw in another string in which they played seven games in ten days and this has been a busy team since Christmas. Don't worry though, they get back to the "norm" when they finish the regular season with four games in five nights the last week.

This weekend's two games will go along way in determining Seattle's first round playoff opponent. The T-birds are going to finish no lower then seventh in the Western Conference, or the first wild card slot. If they drop to that spot they're going to play the winner of the U.S. Division, either Everett or Portland. If Seattle holds steady in third place in the U.S. Division, their first round playoff opponent will be the team that finishes second in the U.S., either Portland or Everett. So, in other words, Seattle will play either Everett or Portland in the first round.

Currently Seattle's magic number for clinching third place in the U.S. Division is seven points. That's any combination of points they earn or Spokane fails to earn over the final two weeks of the season, equaling seven points and third place is theirs. While not mathematically eliminated from climbing higher in the standings, chasing down either Portland or Everett at this point is unrealistic. But Seattle does play the Silvertips twice this coming weekend. Everett currently is in first place in the division but their hold on the top spot is a tenuous one because Portland is only four points back with two games in hand. So, how the T-birds fare against Everett could determine who they play in the first round.

My T-birds Three Stars for this past weekend. And let's be honest, this is really based on just one game, the win over Kamloops because no one stood out enough in the loss Friday in Portland to deserve consideration for a star.

Third Star: I'm gonna give it to Sahvan Khaira. The rookie defenseman hasn't seen much of the ice lately and he played in just the one game this weekend, the win over the Blazers. While he didn't earn a point, the Surrey, B.C. native stepped into an unfamiliar role, centering the T-birds fourth line and had a mostly positive affect on the game. He actually won some key faceoffs. At 6'3" 213lbs, he's a big body for a team that is now without two of it's best power forwards (Justin Hickman, Keegan Kolesar) due to injury. I'm not sure how many more times down the stretch he'll get the chance to center that fourth line but he didn't look out of place or uncomfortable in that role Saturday.

Second Star. Center Matt Barzal. He either had two assists or a game winning goal and an assist versus Kamloops. Either way it was a two point night, and the Portland game aside, continues to affect games, especially in the third period, when the outcome is still in question. He looked like an Olympic slalom skier weaving through the Blazers defense Saturday night to set up Nick Holowko's empty net goal that sealed the win.

First Star: Goalie Taran Kozun. Nice bounce back for him after being pulled the night before against the Winterhawks. He was at his best in the second period vs. the Blazers, stonewalling his former team with 21 saves as Kamloops was pushing hard for the lead. He's been a workhorse for the T-birds, starting 56 of their 66 games and there are still lots more minutes to be played.

Side note: Proof that you don't need to pull off a blockbuster trade to get back players who will have a big impact on your team. Seattle dealt two fourth round picks, goalie Justin Myles (since retired) and seldom used defenseman Austin Douglas (he is no longer in the league) at the 2014 trade deadline for Kozun. In 80 regular season games with the Thunderbirds Kozun is 44-27-4-5 with eight shutouts, a 2.40 GAA and a save percentage of .920.

Then at this year's trade deadline, the T-birds trade a 6th round bantam draft pick to Prince Albert for Corey Millette. In 26 games with Seattle Millette has 25 points (13g, 12a) and is +10, currently riding a three game goal scoring streak. It's like that show, Storage Wars, where you spend a few bucks to buy the contents of an abandoned storage locker and among all the contents you find inside, you uncover something worth thousands of dollars.

Thursday, March 5, 2015

Victory-uh is Ours

Sometimes when a team plays a lot of hockey in a short span, you lose track of what day it is, especially when you're used to games being played on weekends and then back-to-back games pop up on the schedule on a Monday and Tuesday. So, my internal clock thinks today should be Monday, rather then Thursday. But, no time to re-adjust since there are two more games coming up beginning tomorrow, which is Friday, right?

You know, it never felt like the Thunderbirds were on a losing streak after going winless in four games before the win Tuesday in Victoria. Three of the defeats were by one goal and two of those four were lost in either overtime or the shootout. Even in the 5-2 setback to Portland last Saturday the T-birds had more then enough opportunity to turn that game into a win. The fault with Seattle in that game was not doing enough with their 51 shots on goal.

Seattle still has won six of 10 games from Portland (6-3-1-0) this season going into Friday's tilt down at the Moda Center. In fact, in the last three games versus the Winterhawks, Seattle has put 139 shots on Portland's goal. That's an average of nearly 47 shots a game. Meanwhile, Seattle has only allowed Portland 87 shots per game in that stretch, or 29 a game. The issue is the T-birds haven't done enough with their shots and defensive zone breakdowns have allowed the Winterhawks to get the most out of their opportunities. As a result Seattle is just 1-1-1-0 in those three games with their rivals.

On the season series(10 games so far) Seattle has outshot Portland 354 to 274 or 35.5 to 24.4 shots per game. The T-birds have outshot the Winterhawks in nine of the first 10 meetings and the only game they didn't outshoot Portland (shots were 25-29) they won. Yet, despite the significant shot disparity and the six wins, Seattle has only outscored the Winterhawks in the season series, at this point, 30-28. Clearly Seattle has to do a better job of finishing their chances.

But producing offense has been an issue for Seattle all season. They've only scored 187 goals in 64 games. Of the 14 teams in the WHL with winning records, only Spokane has scored less goals then the T-birds and that is because currently, the Chiefs, with 184 goals, have played two less games. The offensive production has improved the second half with Matt Barzal and Shea Theodore back and healthy, plus the trade deadline additions of Corey Millette and Roberts Lipsbergs. Three of those four are averaging a point a game and Millette is just barely under that threshold. Still, on the year the T-birds are averaging just 2.92 goals a game. They need to get that up over 3.00 going into the playoffs.

That task unfortunately got a little harder with the loss of second year right winger Keegan Kolesar who suffered an injury early in Tuesday's 4-1 win in Victoria. I don't have any official diagnosis or a prognosis on how long he'll be out, but it didn't look good when it happened and I think it is safe to rule him out for the foreseeable future. So that knocks his 19 goals and 38 points out of the lineup as he joins Alexander True on the sidelines long term. For most of the season Kolesar was the team's second leading scorer and currently is fourth. It will be hard to replace that production.

Wednesday night in Kennewick, the Tri-City Americans shutout the Vancouver Giants 3-0. That loss by Vancouver officially cemented Seattle's spot in the 2015 WHL postseason. The lowest Seattle can finish now is 8th in the Western Conference, or the second wild card position. Of course, the T-birds are aiming their sights higher. The Thunderbirds magic number for guaranteeing at least a 7th place finish in the conference, and thus avoiding Kelowna in the first round, is three points. Their magic number to sew up third place in the U.S. Division is 13 points. So, you can see there is still work to do over the final eight games of the regular season.

The Thunderbirds played six very good periods in Victoria earlier this week, earning three out of four points. A solid effort Monday, coming from two goals down to tie the game before losing in the shootout, earned them one point. Tuesday Seattle was the better team from start to finish, scoring the first three goals enroute to the 4-1 victory. As a result, the T-birds finish the season series with the Royals with a 2-1-0-1 record. With that result, the T-birds are now 25-13-6-1 against the Western Conference teams currently occupying the other seven playoff spots. They have a winning record against every one of those teams except Tri-City (3-3-1-0).

My Three Stars on the trip to Vancouver Island:

Third Star, The goaltending tandem of Logan Flodell and Taran Kozun. Flodell got the start Monday and came up with 20 saves on 22 shots to get the game to the shootout. Kozun started Tuesday and had 29 saves in the 4-1 win. The Royals came into the two games averaging 3.46 goals a game. Seattle held them to just three goals total in the two contests combined. Flodell and Kozun were a big reason why.

Second Star: Defenseman Jerret Smith. After scoring a goal in each game versus the Royals, Smith now has 10 on the season. That's easily a career best. Seven of his 10 goals have come on the power play, including the one he scored Tuesday. He also scored Seattle's second goal Monday, which tied the game and earned Seattle a critical point. On the season he now has 33 points (10g, 23a) and is +7.

First Star: Defenseman Shea Theodore. The Anaheim Ducks 2013 1st round draft pick is starting to turn it up as we get closer to the postseason. He boarded the ferry after the two games against Victoria with four points (1g, 3a). His unassisted goal late in the first period of the second game turned out to be the game winner. He almost potted the game winner late in the third period Monday, only to see his last minute shot clang off the cross bar. He now possesses an eight game scoring streak. It's the second time this season he has done that, which again is remarkable considering how few games he's played in. As a result of injury and World Juniors he has only played 35 games for Seattle this season but he has compiled 42 points in those games (11g, 31a )putting him third on the team in that department and is the team leader in plus/minus at +11. If he had been available all season, he'd be on pace for 86 points.

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Winning Weekend

That darn post! If not for clinking a shot late in the third period Saturday off the right post, Seattle winger Roberts Lipsbergs would not only have completed his hat trick, but it would have given the T-birds power play goals in 13 straight games. That's about the only negative I can find from their 7-0 pasting of Everett at the ShoWare Center.

The reality is Seattle didn't need their power play to win the game. They were strong 5-on-5 all night long. The night before though their power play bailed them out, going 3-for-5 in coming back three times to earn a 4-3 overtime win over Lethbridge. Two games, two different ways to win but the same result, a crucial two points earned.

Saturday's win over the Silvertips was clearly the better effort over 60 minutes and was reminiscent of the way they had been playing most of the second half of the season; with consistency. That had gotten away from them the past couple of weeks as their efforts were a bit up and down. Hopefully Saturday's win brought them back to where they need to be with 13 games left in the regular season.

Another great example of playing well and affecting the outcome without ending up on the scoresheet comes from that win over Everett. The line of Calvin Spencer-Donovan Neuls-Nolan Volcan made life miserable all night for Everett's leading scorer, NHL first round draft pick Nikita Sherbak. Not only was Sherbak held pointless, but he finished the game at -3.

Speaking of Volcan, did anyone extend an invite to his dad Marty to play in the Hockey Challenge Celebrity/Alumni All Star game? tThe rosters for that game were inundated with former T-bird players such as Brendan Witt, Reagan Mueller and Brett Duncan, to name a few. Marty Volcan is a former Seattle Breaker. Would have been nice to see him out skating in the charity game on Parent's Weekend!

Nice to see Yashar Farmanara back in the area to play in that game, although he'd like another crack at that shootout attempt! Farmanara played for the T-birds between 2003-06 before being dealt to Lethbridge and eventually finishing his WHL career with Medicine Hat. Seattle G.M. Russ Farwell has made some great trade deadline acquisitions over the years (see Cory Millette, Brooks Laich, Tomas Mojizs, Ian McKenzie), but I think even he'd agree he'd like a do over on that deal that sent Farmanara and Mitch Fadden to the Hurricanes for Kyle Pess and Robert Klinkhammer back in 2006. Pess decided to leave the T-birds at the start of the next season, days after Seattle had dealt Klinkhammer to Portland. Meanwhile Farmanara would compile 90 points (45g) over the next two seasons with the Hurricanes and Tigers while Fadden would record 277 points, including 118 goals, over the next three years between stints with the Hurricanes and Tri-City Americans.

The Thunderbirds power play had been mired in the bottom half of the league standings for most of the season. Falling as low as 18th in the 22 team WHL and spending most of the season around 13 or 14 overall. But since the return of Shea Theodore and Matt Barzal to the lineup and the acquisition of Cory Millete from Prince Albert, the Seattle power play has been a force recently, rising as high as 6th overall and currently sitting at #8 following the 0-for-3 Saturday. For a team that has been near the bottom in goals scored in the league this season, the improved power play is a much needed weapon for their arsenal.

With the win over Everett, Seattle is now 9-3-1-0 the past two months of the season against the top four records in the Western Conference (Kelowna, Everett, Portland and Victoria).

My T-birds Three Stars for the past weekend:

3rd Star: D Jerret Smith. Smith had a goal and an assist in Friday's overtime win versus Lethbridge and that goal was the game winner. No points Saturday in the win over Everett but a steady force on the back end that helped limit the Silvertips to just 15 shots in the 7-0 shutout. Continues to be Seattle's most consistent defenseman this season. His eight goals this year more then doubles his career best and he has become a key cog to the T-birds number one power play unit.

2nd Star: LW Cory Millette. Might be the most bang for the buck that any team is getting from a player acquired at the trade deadline. He only cost Seattle a 6th round draft pick yet has been good for nearly a point a game since his acquisition from Prince Albert. In 19 games with Seattle he has 18 points (9g, 9a) and is a plus seven. By contrast in 39 games the first half of the season with Saskatoon and PA, he had 18 points (8g, 10a) and was -17. Another reason why Seattle's power play is clicking, five of his nine goals with the T-birds have come with the man advantage. Finished the weekend with five points (2g, 3a) and +3.

1st Star: C Matt Barzal. Every time I ask the T-birds coaching staff about Barzal they say he is still not at the top of his game yet, coming off his knee injury. In other words, they believe he still has another level to his game and he's just now scratching the surface. Okay, so right now we have 90 percent of Barzal, which isn't too shabby considering he finished the weekend with seven assists. At one point he had assisted on five straight T-birds goals, and seven of 10, going back to their loss last Sunday to Victoria. Despite missing nearly three months of the season (28 games)has moved back up to number two on the team in scoring with 39 points (11g, 28a), only seven points behind Ryan Gropp for the team lead. Averaging 1.26 points per game. When extrapolated out over a 72 games season, he would be on pace for 91 points.

Monday, February 16, 2015

Compete, Compete and Repeat

The Thunderbirds have gotten into a bad habit lately. Basically that poor habit is inconsistency. They'll get up for an opponent, usually a team at the top of the standings, and play an intense, competitive game only to see that level of compete fall off dramatically the next game, usually against a team at the other end of the standings.

Over the last ten days, in which the T-birds played seven games, they played one of their better games of the season in a 6-3 win over Portland, the team they're battling for 2nd place in the U.S. Division. Two days later they nearly went sleep walking through a 5-4 loss to the Vancouver Giants up at the Pacific Coliseum. They came back the next night to earn a thrilling, 2-1, win over the WHL's top team, Kelowna. It was their second win over the Rockets in the last month. But the very next game they once again couldn't muster the same level of urgency and desperation in a 3-2 shootout loss in Kamloops as they fell to the Blazers for the third time.

They got the effort and compete level back the next night in another win over one of the top teams in the league. This time a 3-2, come-from-behind, shootout win over the U.S. Division leading Everett Silvertips. But whatever grit and passion they displayed in that game must have been left at Xfinity Arena because it was non-existent in a flat performance Sunday at home in a 6-3 loss to the Victoria Royals at the ShoWare Center.

So over a ten day stretch the T-birds beat the top three teams in the Western Conference, Kelowna, Everett and Portland but lost to two teams at the bottom of the table, Vancouver and Kamloops. Is this a byproduct of their youth; their mental maturity, if you will? They get fired up to face the best but can't self-motivate to play the teams with losing records? That may be part of the issue but it wasn't as though the young players were the only ones who couldn't find their compete level in those losses. Some of the older players weren't on board either. But I do think their is some validity to the argument that Seattle's youth is playing a role in this inconsistency.

Most of these players are dealing with a 72-game schedule for the first time and their lack of physical maturity might affect their ability to play sixty minutes of grind-it-out hockey seven times over a week and a half. When is this lack of focus from game-to-game occurring? Toward the end of the long season. Go back to the first half of the season and even when Seattle was losing games they were competing night in and night out. But they were also mentally and physically fresher back then too.

Is the schedule a factor? Seriously, seven games in 10 days (five over the last eight days) is a bit too much for this level especially when you factor in that most of these players are still in school and three of the games were weekday affairs, on the road, so the "off days" are actually travel days spent on a bus. At the same time though, these players all have aspirations at competing at the next level. So, in a way, this is their training for that hoped for eventuality of playing professionally. The lesson they need to learn is bring the same effort each game no matter the opponent, no matter the schedule. School is in session.

The bottom line is this; if you want to be a championship caliber team you can't ride the roller coaster like this. You have to be consistent from game to game. Sure, emotion is a big part of this game but you need to be able to not let the highs get too high or the lows too low. You have to keep your emotions in check to the point they don't affect your performance. When the 54th game of the season is over, it is time to re-focus your effort on game 55. And the focus has to be on your effort not the opponent's place in the standings. It's not an easy thing to do, to mentally treat each game like it's a must win, game seven, do or die situation, but that's what separates the top from the bottom.

The old saying, you don't know what you've got until it goes missing, rang true this weekend for Seattle. Seattle was a bit sloppy in the defensive zone this past weekend, especially Sunday versus Victoria, but it was also evident at times in Kamloops Friday and to a lesser extent Saturday in Everett. The one missing ingredient in all three games? Jared Hauf. The big stay-at-home defenseman missed all three games with an upper body injury. Hauf can get lost in the wash because he's not a point producer but it's clear to see how valuable he is to this team in the defensive zone, especially since he's often matched up against the opponents top scoring line.

The T-birds finally get a break from the hectic schedule as they won't play again until Lethbridge comes to town Friday. And even though that will start a string of five games in nine nights, all five games will be at home so the team doesn't have to deal with any travel until March when they ferry over to Victoria for two games.

My T-birds Three Stars for the past weekend:

Third Star: Goalie Logan Flodell. Flodell didn't get the win in his only start Friday night in Kamloops but his 29 save effort was good enough to earn Seattle a point in the shootout loss. Without his play in that game Seattle probably comes out of that night with nada. He then played 25+ minutes Sunday versus the Royals and stopped all nine shots he faced. So on the weekend he played 90-minutes and stopped 38 of 40 shots. In the process he lowered his GAA to 2.73 and raised his save percentage to .912.

Second Star: Center Donovan Neuls. The first year player from Grenfell, Saskatchewan continues to do what he's done all season, lead the team in +/- at +9. Neuls scored one regulation goal in the Friday shootout loss in Kamloops, then scored the game winning shootout goal Saturday up in Everett.

First Star: Center Mathew Barzal. Barzal finished with one goal but it was a big one as his redirection of Keegan Kolesar's shot tied thing up late in Everett, allowing Seattle to win it in the shootout. Barzal also added three assists on the weekend and a shootout goal to boot. He now has 14 points in his last nine games. Despite missing 29 games due to injury, he is still third on the team in scoring with 32 points (11g, 21a).