Saturday night's season opening shootout win over Portland at the rockin' ShoWare Center was just one game of a 72 game schedule so I think we can all agree to temper our enthusiasm until we've seen about 15-20 games. Afterall, the T-Birds defeated the Winterhawks, 5-2, on opening night down at the Rose Garden (now the Moda Center) a year ago and we all know what happened after that as Portland dominated the rest of the season series on their way to the Chenowyth Cup.
Still, I think it is safe to say their are things the Thunderbirds did last night that are sustainable over the course of the long season. Here's my take on some of those.
1. Pressure. The Thunderbirds have three, if not four solid lines. Last night they were able to generate fairly consistent pressure over the entire course of the game; relentless at times...especially early. As a result they created a dozen or more quality scoring chances. They forced Portland's goalie, Brendan Burke, to stand on his head to keep pucks out. By next weekend they get to re-insert Justin Hickman into the lineup, which will only make them stronger up front. Eventually they'll get Shea Theodore back which will only strengthen the back end. If they can do this most game night's, those pucks will eventually start going in.
2. Fast, Physical play. The T-birds are a good sized team, but it's not at the expense of team speed; they skate well too. As a result they generate a strong, punishing forecheck. There were times they made it difficult for the Winterhawks to get out of their own end. Portland did eventually adjust but the T-Birds were just as physical with the 'Hawks as they moved the puck up ice.
3. Defensive zone play. As the game wore on, the T-Birds did drop into some old habits of failing to clear a few pucks but for the most part they did a good job of limiting the Winterhawks time in the offensive zone. They were strong along the boards and there seemed to be good communication among the d-men and goaltender. I also liked how few times goalie Justin Myles covered the puck for a defensive zone faceoff. This may be a Myles strong suit, hard to tell just yet since it was just one game, but he seemed to know when to play the puck and keep the game moving and when to freeze it. The ability to play the puck smartly is what usually separates good goalie from great ones.
4. Special teams. Not too many teams can lose their power play quarterback, a first round NHL pick, and replace him with a 16-year-old and apparently not miss a beat. But that's what Seattle did. With Theodore still away at camp with the Anaheim Ducks, the Thunderbirds slid rookie Ethan Bear into his slot on the top PP unit and looked just as solid. Bear looked like he's been there done that. Who knows, maybe he had a whole nest of butterflies churning away in his stomach, but you couldn't tell by his composed demeanor. Seattle was only 1-of-5 with the man advantage but they were dangerous every time they skated 5-on-4. If that doesn't get you excited, think about this: at times on the PP the T-birds had three 16-year-olds on the ice (Bear, Kolesar and Barzal)and it looked like a seasoned PP unit. Conversely Seattle held Portland without a power-play goal on five chances one night after the 'Hawks went 5-of-8 with the man advantage against Prince George. While a couple of rookies looked good on the power play, two veteran players, Seth Swenson and Riley Sheen, led the way on the PK.
4. Myles is the man. Yes, it's one game, and limiting Portland's high powered offense to just three goals on 42 shots and keeping them out of the back of the net on the power play is a team effort, but it starts with goaltending and Myles made the saves he had to make. Remember, Myles hadn't played in a meaningful game since last November. He should only get better the more starts he gets under his belt.
5. I trust you, you trust me. Every player wants the trust of his coach so they can play in all situations. Conversely a coach wants to trust that he can put any player on his bench out on the ice at any time. Steve Konowalchuk's liberal use of all his players, old and young, rookie or seasoned vet, was evident in Saturday's win. I don't really think he started shortening his bench until the last half of the third period and even then it was just a couple of rookies who saw their ice time limited.
Strange note. Well, maybe not so strange since Seattle and Portland play each other 12 times a season, but at least eight players on the Seattle roster have made their WHL debuts against Portland. Branden Troock debuted against the Winterhawks as a 15-year-old a few years back. Last season then 16-year-old goalie Danny Mumaugh, as well as then 15-year-olds Keegan Kolesar and Ethan Bear did the same and Saturday night, 16-year-old Mathew Barzal, 17-year-olds Austin Douglas, Carter Folk and Scott Eansor did the same. That number could be higher, but I'm not sure if Michal Holub was in the opening night lineup against Portland a season ago.
I don't want to call Erik Benoit cheap and easy, but the newest T-Birds cost the organization absolutely nothing to acquire after he was claimed off waivers from the Saskatoon Blades last week and the way he plays makes it easy to like him in Thunderbirds blue. He looks to be a solid two-way player and is another top piece of the power play puzzle. Remember, Benoit comes with a solid resume having won a WHL championship with Kootenay and also having played in two Memorial Cups in a three year span; one with the Ice and one with the Blades. Chatting briefly about Benoit with Konowalchuk before the game, it was easy to tell the coach was more than glad Benoit was on his team. After seeing Benoit in his T-Birds debut it was easy to see why the coach feels that way.
Twenty one of the players on Seattle's opening night roster were either drafted or listed by Seattle. Only four were acquired via trade while one was a waiver pick up. It's simple, you build a winner in this league through the draft (just ask Portland) and we're seeing that better drafting is turning the T-Birds into a more competitive team. The Thunderbirds top three draft choices from the 2012 draft (Barzal, Kolesar and Bear)were all on the ice last night and contributed two assists and a shootout goal. A fourth player from that draft, Lane Pederson, was a healthy scratch but I'm guessing he'll make his debut next week.
Sunday, September 22, 2013
Thursday, September 12, 2013
The Final 'Bird Battles
Because I went on an Alaskan cruise to help my in-laws celebrate their 50th wedding anniversary, I've missed all of the T-birds exhibition season. So, I haven't seen the team since training camp. Now, here we are with just over a week before the season opener and some difficult roster decisions are coming up for the organization's brain trust. I'm guessing the coaching staff has an idea of what direction they will go with final roster decisions, but performance in the final two preseason games this weekend versus Everett could be a deciding factor.
The biggest battle looming is which two netminders, of the four goalies on the roster, will still be around on opening weekend? Is there a possibility that three will be retained, at least initially? At the moment, I think a trade for a goalie is probably just a remote possibility. A number of veteran WHL netminders have been traded or became available this offseason and the T-birds had the assets to acquire one of them but chose not to. I think they are confident in the goalies they have in the system. Their only drawback right now is inexperience.
Let's remember that a season ago Justin Myles won the number two job out of training camp and was poised to probably get a minimum of 20 starts behind 20 year old Brandon Glover while being groomed to take over the number one role this season. Unfortunately Myles was injured in November and missed the rest of the season. It should be noted that this was a non-hockey related injury, dispelling the thought that Myles is an injury-prone player. In the brief playing time he got last season, Myles went 1-3 with a 3.90 GAA and an .865 save percentage. Those are fairly respectable numbers considering he was getting on the ice every 5th or 6th game. The GAA and save percentage are a bit inflated because he had one clunker of a game, giving up five goals in Regina.
So far this preseason Myles has been sharp. Appearing in four games he is 2-0 with a 2.69 GAA and a .923 save percentage. It's just my opinion, but I think the number one job is his, albeit the T-birds might go with more of a platoon in goal with a 1a and 1b sort of arrangement. I'm just of the school of thought that you don't lose your job to injury unless your replacement clearly outperforms you and I haven't seen that in regards to Myles.
Danny Mumaugh actually is the most "experienced" returning T-birds goaltender, having appeared in 18 games a season ago, after replacing Myles as the #2 goalie in December. Mumaugh compiled a 1-7-2-1 record with a 4.11 GAA. His one win was a big one though as he defeated Tri-City in a game that clinched a playoff spot for Seattle. In fact it was practically a "must-win" situation for Mumaugh. If you recall, Glover was suspended for that game so Mumaugh had to rise to the occasion and handle the pressure well and he did. His three OT/SO losses also helped the club earn three crucial points in their playoff chase.
A hand injury has limited Mumaugh to just one game of preseason action so far, playing 31 minutes and allowing two goals on 17 shots and posting a 3.92 GAA. Mumaugh should see plenty of playing time this weekend to shake off more rust and help the coaches evaluate the goalie situation.
The elder statesman of the group, 19 year old Devon Fordyce, was added to the goalie mix this past spring by way of the 10th round of the WHL Bantam draft. Fordyce previously played 18 games in the WHL over parts of two seasons with the Prince George Cougars compiling a record of 2-8 with a 4.30 GAA. So far in preseason Fordyce is 1-0 with a 4.30 GAA. He's also faced the most shots of any of the goalies in the exhibition games; 63 in 98 minutes of action. That's a lot of rubber, but he has put up a solid .889 save percentage. I guess the question is, has Fordyce shown enough in training camp, practice and preseason games to supplant either of the two "returning" goalies?
The wildcard in the goalie battle is 16 year old Logan Flodell. Flodell was a third round pick (47th overall)in the 2012 Bantam Draft, the highest the T-birds have selected a goalie in the draft since Calvin Pickard was chosen in the second round, 38th overall, back in 2007. By comparison, Myles was a 5th round pick (92nd overall) in 2010 and Mumaugh was a listed player signed out of Colorado. If his development stays on its current path, Flodell is the future in goal for the Thunderbirds, but could that future be now? Flodell certainly is making a case to stick with his preseason performance. He's sporting a 1-1 record but he's allowed just three goals on 59 shots over 87 minutes and sports a gaudy .949 save percentage along with a 2.06 GAA.
The questions the T-birds brass are asking themselves is whether Flodell's development is best served here this season with the T-birds as the number two guy, playing 20-25 games or less while practicing against WHL talent, or would he be better off going back to Regina and being the number one guy at a slightly lower level of competition?
It is, as they say, quite the conundrum. Four goalies, ages 19, 18, 17 and 16, fighting for two spots. One school of thought on a trade; I've heard lots of speculation that Seattle needs to deal for a veteran 20 year old goaltender but could it go the other way? Do any of these four netminders have more value to the club as a trade asset? Makes for an interesting weekend.
Meanwhile the T-birds currently are carrying 14 forwards and 9 defensemen. While it is not uncommon to see 14 forwards on a roster, I'd be surprised if we begin the season with 9 defensemen. It's easier to mix in the young forwards and get them ice time on the 4th line. It's harder to get enough ice time for 9 defenseman when you rely so heavily on your top six who are all 18 or older, occasionally giving a 7th d-man 2-3 shifts a game if you even dress seven.
Seattle goes into the two preseason games this weekend with 27 players still on the roster. There's a good possibility they keep 25 of them to start the season but they'll probably play the majority of the season with a 23 or 24 man roster. It appears the completion in camp and preseason has been fierce and some tough decisions lie ahead.
The biggest battle looming is which two netminders, of the four goalies on the roster, will still be around on opening weekend? Is there a possibility that three will be retained, at least initially? At the moment, I think a trade for a goalie is probably just a remote possibility. A number of veteran WHL netminders have been traded or became available this offseason and the T-birds had the assets to acquire one of them but chose not to. I think they are confident in the goalies they have in the system. Their only drawback right now is inexperience.
Let's remember that a season ago Justin Myles won the number two job out of training camp and was poised to probably get a minimum of 20 starts behind 20 year old Brandon Glover while being groomed to take over the number one role this season. Unfortunately Myles was injured in November and missed the rest of the season. It should be noted that this was a non-hockey related injury, dispelling the thought that Myles is an injury-prone player. In the brief playing time he got last season, Myles went 1-3 with a 3.90 GAA and an .865 save percentage. Those are fairly respectable numbers considering he was getting on the ice every 5th or 6th game. The GAA and save percentage are a bit inflated because he had one clunker of a game, giving up five goals in Regina.
So far this preseason Myles has been sharp. Appearing in four games he is 2-0 with a 2.69 GAA and a .923 save percentage. It's just my opinion, but I think the number one job is his, albeit the T-birds might go with more of a platoon in goal with a 1a and 1b sort of arrangement. I'm just of the school of thought that you don't lose your job to injury unless your replacement clearly outperforms you and I haven't seen that in regards to Myles.
Danny Mumaugh actually is the most "experienced" returning T-birds goaltender, having appeared in 18 games a season ago, after replacing Myles as the #2 goalie in December. Mumaugh compiled a 1-7-2-1 record with a 4.11 GAA. His one win was a big one though as he defeated Tri-City in a game that clinched a playoff spot for Seattle. In fact it was practically a "must-win" situation for Mumaugh. If you recall, Glover was suspended for that game so Mumaugh had to rise to the occasion and handle the pressure well and he did. His three OT/SO losses also helped the club earn three crucial points in their playoff chase.
A hand injury has limited Mumaugh to just one game of preseason action so far, playing 31 minutes and allowing two goals on 17 shots and posting a 3.92 GAA. Mumaugh should see plenty of playing time this weekend to shake off more rust and help the coaches evaluate the goalie situation.
The elder statesman of the group, 19 year old Devon Fordyce, was added to the goalie mix this past spring by way of the 10th round of the WHL Bantam draft. Fordyce previously played 18 games in the WHL over parts of two seasons with the Prince George Cougars compiling a record of 2-8 with a 4.30 GAA. So far in preseason Fordyce is 1-0 with a 4.30 GAA. He's also faced the most shots of any of the goalies in the exhibition games; 63 in 98 minutes of action. That's a lot of rubber, but he has put up a solid .889 save percentage. I guess the question is, has Fordyce shown enough in training camp, practice and preseason games to supplant either of the two "returning" goalies?
The wildcard in the goalie battle is 16 year old Logan Flodell. Flodell was a third round pick (47th overall)in the 2012 Bantam Draft, the highest the T-birds have selected a goalie in the draft since Calvin Pickard was chosen in the second round, 38th overall, back in 2007. By comparison, Myles was a 5th round pick (92nd overall) in 2010 and Mumaugh was a listed player signed out of Colorado. If his development stays on its current path, Flodell is the future in goal for the Thunderbirds, but could that future be now? Flodell certainly is making a case to stick with his preseason performance. He's sporting a 1-1 record but he's allowed just three goals on 59 shots over 87 minutes and sports a gaudy .949 save percentage along with a 2.06 GAA.
The questions the T-birds brass are asking themselves is whether Flodell's development is best served here this season with the T-birds as the number two guy, playing 20-25 games or less while practicing against WHL talent, or would he be better off going back to Regina and being the number one guy at a slightly lower level of competition?
It is, as they say, quite the conundrum. Four goalies, ages 19, 18, 17 and 16, fighting for two spots. One school of thought on a trade; I've heard lots of speculation that Seattle needs to deal for a veteran 20 year old goaltender but could it go the other way? Do any of these four netminders have more value to the club as a trade asset? Makes for an interesting weekend.
Meanwhile the T-birds currently are carrying 14 forwards and 9 defensemen. While it is not uncommon to see 14 forwards on a roster, I'd be surprised if we begin the season with 9 defensemen. It's easier to mix in the young forwards and get them ice time on the 4th line. It's harder to get enough ice time for 9 defenseman when you rely so heavily on your top six who are all 18 or older, occasionally giving a 7th d-man 2-3 shifts a game if you even dress seven.
Seattle goes into the two preseason games this weekend with 27 players still on the roster. There's a good possibility they keep 25 of them to start the season but they'll probably play the majority of the season with a 23 or 24 man roster. It appears the completion in camp and preseason has been fierce and some tough decisions lie ahead.
Sunday, August 25, 2013
One for the Ages?
Will the 2012 Bantam Draft go down as one of the best in T-bird history? Let me start this with a cliché, "Only time will tell", but after a weekend of training camp it certainly has the potential to be. Now, plenty of things can change between now and the time these players reach their 19-20 year old seasons but the promise they've been displaying at camp gives one great hope. I'm finding it hard to come up with another draft class that had this depth.
The T-birds had ten selections in the 2012 draft. Five of the players from that draft have already signed. Six are making some sort of case for a roster spot as 16 year olds. A few others have done enough that they could warrant a roster spot down the road.
It starts with Mathew Barzal, not just the T-birds first pick, but the first overall selection from that draft. He has done nothing in camp that would make you think he isn't what he was billed to be; a franchise player. In one of the scrimmages this weekend I saw him make a play in the defensive zone, away from the puck. It led to a turnover and a scoring chance for his team at the other end. It's small things like that, that create star players. He pays attention to the smallest details. Barzal is probably going to center one of the top two lines, maybe not at the beginning of the year, but eventually he'll be up there. He makes player around him, even the older players, better. He's not going to score every time he touches the puck but other teams are going to have to be aware of where he is on the ice at all times. This will create space and time for his linemates.
Keegan Kolesar was Seattle's other first round choice that year. He even got into a couple of playoff games last season as a 15 year old. He's listed at 6'1" 215 lbs, but I think he's bigger then that and his body is still maturing. For a big guy, he has some finesse but as he gets older he's gonna be hard to play against. I think he's good enough now to get fourth line minutes and in a few years he should be the quintessential power forward, a WHL version of a Bryan Bickell type player.
In the second round the T-birds chose smooth skating defenseman Ethan Bear. He got into one regular season game last year as a 15 year old, playing down in Portland and didn't look out of place. He's a defense first player but he can shoot and is not afraid to jump up and join the rush. The T-birds have a logjam back on the blueline so I don't know where he'll get his minutes if he sticks this season but he's talented enough already to be a 7th d-man on this club. In a few years don't be surprised if he's an integral part of the power play.
In Round Three The Thunderbirds selected goalie Logan Flodell. Flodell is the future in net for Seattle but there is no pressure on him to make the club this season at age 16. Could he? There is an outside chance I suppose, but there are enough older goalies in front of him on the depth chart that he can bide his time back in Regina and continue to refine his game. But footsteps will be heard by those other goalies if they don't live up to expectations because Flodell is showing all the signs of being a top WHL netminder.
The Thunderbirds did not have a 4th round pick but still found a gem in Round Five with the selection of center Lane Pederson out of Saskatoon. Pederson has looked very sure of himself at camp. He skates very well and has a good burst, plus a nose for the net. The question will be ice time. There are a lot of returning forwards on this club. Even after the trades of Conner Sanvido and Andrew Johnson, I still see about 11-12 forwards above him on the depth chart. I've noticed he's been used as both a winger and a center in camp. This versatility will help get him into more games as he can play two spots on the fourth line. I do think he's someone who could be kept around this season to learn the ropes because he'll take on a much bigger role as a 17 year old.
With no picks in rounds six and seven, the T-birds made two selections in Round Eight. Donovan Neuls went 157th overall. The left winger out of Saskatchewan is having a solid camp in his second visit to Seattle but again there are just too many returning or older forwards ahead of him right now. The second of the two 8th round choices was Luke Osterman, a defenseman out of Stillwater, Minnesota. I liked him at camp last year and I think he's having an even better camp this time around. He's positionally sound, seems to have good hockey smarts and just seems to play beyond his 16 years. He's been much more physical this time around and has produced some of the best checks in any of the scrimmages. With the glut of defenseman looking for ice time with this team, I think the toughest decision this organization has to make may be what to do with Osterman. He is making a good argument that he deserves a spot on this team. If he wants to play in the WHL, if not this season, then I'd say next year he is a lock.
Another Saskatchewan left winger, Tyler Kreklewich was picked in the 9th round. With so many 19 year old forwards on the team this season Kreklewich and Neuls will have to bide their time and hope for a shot next season when they turn 17.
The same can be said for 10th rounder Austin Wong, a good-sized defenseman out of Medicine Hat. Just too many defensemen in front of him on the depth chart but I didn't see him do anything that made him look out of place on the ice.
So who sticks? How many 16 year olds will the T-birds carry? It would be very difficult to find enough ice time for three, let alone five or six. Barzal is a given. He's one of your top six forwards, maybe your number one option at center. To me, Kolesar and Pederson both have 4th line value but is there room for both on the roster this season? And what about Bear and Osterman? Aren't we all doing the numbers in our head at this time of year, trying to figure out line combos and depth charts? I don't envy the T-bird brain trust because the players at camp are making it tough for them to decide who stays and who goes.
The T-birds had ten selections in the 2012 draft. Five of the players from that draft have already signed. Six are making some sort of case for a roster spot as 16 year olds. A few others have done enough that they could warrant a roster spot down the road.
It starts with Mathew Barzal, not just the T-birds first pick, but the first overall selection from that draft. He has done nothing in camp that would make you think he isn't what he was billed to be; a franchise player. In one of the scrimmages this weekend I saw him make a play in the defensive zone, away from the puck. It led to a turnover and a scoring chance for his team at the other end. It's small things like that, that create star players. He pays attention to the smallest details. Barzal is probably going to center one of the top two lines, maybe not at the beginning of the year, but eventually he'll be up there. He makes player around him, even the older players, better. He's not going to score every time he touches the puck but other teams are going to have to be aware of where he is on the ice at all times. This will create space and time for his linemates.
Keegan Kolesar was Seattle's other first round choice that year. He even got into a couple of playoff games last season as a 15 year old. He's listed at 6'1" 215 lbs, but I think he's bigger then that and his body is still maturing. For a big guy, he has some finesse but as he gets older he's gonna be hard to play against. I think he's good enough now to get fourth line minutes and in a few years he should be the quintessential power forward, a WHL version of a Bryan Bickell type player.
In the second round the T-birds chose smooth skating defenseman Ethan Bear. He got into one regular season game last year as a 15 year old, playing down in Portland and didn't look out of place. He's a defense first player but he can shoot and is not afraid to jump up and join the rush. The T-birds have a logjam back on the blueline so I don't know where he'll get his minutes if he sticks this season but he's talented enough already to be a 7th d-man on this club. In a few years don't be surprised if he's an integral part of the power play.
In Round Three The Thunderbirds selected goalie Logan Flodell. Flodell is the future in net for Seattle but there is no pressure on him to make the club this season at age 16. Could he? There is an outside chance I suppose, but there are enough older goalies in front of him on the depth chart that he can bide his time back in Regina and continue to refine his game. But footsteps will be heard by those other goalies if they don't live up to expectations because Flodell is showing all the signs of being a top WHL netminder.
The Thunderbirds did not have a 4th round pick but still found a gem in Round Five with the selection of center Lane Pederson out of Saskatoon. Pederson has looked very sure of himself at camp. He skates very well and has a good burst, plus a nose for the net. The question will be ice time. There are a lot of returning forwards on this club. Even after the trades of Conner Sanvido and Andrew Johnson, I still see about 11-12 forwards above him on the depth chart. I've noticed he's been used as both a winger and a center in camp. This versatility will help get him into more games as he can play two spots on the fourth line. I do think he's someone who could be kept around this season to learn the ropes because he'll take on a much bigger role as a 17 year old.
With no picks in rounds six and seven, the T-birds made two selections in Round Eight. Donovan Neuls went 157th overall. The left winger out of Saskatchewan is having a solid camp in his second visit to Seattle but again there are just too many returning or older forwards ahead of him right now. The second of the two 8th round choices was Luke Osterman, a defenseman out of Stillwater, Minnesota. I liked him at camp last year and I think he's having an even better camp this time around. He's positionally sound, seems to have good hockey smarts and just seems to play beyond his 16 years. He's been much more physical this time around and has produced some of the best checks in any of the scrimmages. With the glut of defenseman looking for ice time with this team, I think the toughest decision this organization has to make may be what to do with Osterman. He is making a good argument that he deserves a spot on this team. If he wants to play in the WHL, if not this season, then I'd say next year he is a lock.
Another Saskatchewan left winger, Tyler Kreklewich was picked in the 9th round. With so many 19 year old forwards on the team this season Kreklewich and Neuls will have to bide their time and hope for a shot next season when they turn 17.
The same can be said for 10th rounder Austin Wong, a good-sized defenseman out of Medicine Hat. Just too many defensemen in front of him on the depth chart but I didn't see him do anything that made him look out of place on the ice.
So who sticks? How many 16 year olds will the T-birds carry? It would be very difficult to find enough ice time for three, let alone five or six. Barzal is a given. He's one of your top six forwards, maybe your number one option at center. To me, Kolesar and Pederson both have 4th line value but is there room for both on the roster this season? And what about Bear and Osterman? Aren't we all doing the numbers in our head at this time of year, trying to figure out line combos and depth charts? I don't envy the T-bird brain trust because the players at camp are making it tough for them to decide who stays and who goes.
Saturday, August 24, 2013
Welcome back to the T-birds Family
In the second round of this past spring's 2013 WHL Bantam Draft, the Seattle Thunderbirds used their pick (#27 overall) on Nolan Volcan, a left winger out of Edmonton. Nolan is the son of Marty Volcan who, as it happens, played 28 games for the Seattle Breakers (the forerunners to the T-birds) back in the 1984-85 season. Marty Volcan made his first visit back to the Seattle area since his playing days this weekend, coming down to watch his son participate in his first T-birds training camp.
We caught up with Marty and he shared some of his memories from his time playing in Seattle http://youtu.be/NKUzsgJnULk
We caught up with Marty and he shared some of his memories from his time playing in Seattle http://youtu.be/NKUzsgJnULk
Thursday, August 1, 2013
Pre Camp Diet
The Seattle Thunderbirds whittled away some of their excess with an August 1st deal that sends two forwards to Swift Current for a 4th round selection in the 2014 WHL Bantam draft. Heading to Swift Current are 20 year old Connor Sanvido and 19 year old Andrew Johnson.
Dealing Sanvido leaves the T-birds with the maximum three 20 year olds on their roster. It was a given that one of the four they had on the roster this summer was going to have to be released or traded before the overage deadline, which usually comes in Mid-October. The past few seasons though, T-birds GM Russ Farwell has pared down the number of 20's on his roster early. You may recall last season when Farwell traded Chance Lund to the Broncos in the latter stages of training camp and released defenseman Brad Deagle before the start of the season. I think this is the right way of doing it, or at least the right way for the 20 year old player involved. Waiting until the deadline leaves one of those players' WHL career in limbo. By the time early to mid-October rolls around there may not be a roster spot in the league available. Trading Sanvido now puts him on a roster, with a team that wants him.
This is a good move for Sanvido, Johnson and the Broncos. Swift Current has lost three older forwards this offseason due to long term injury. 20 year old Brent Benson and 19 year old Shea Howorko have ended their playing careers because of post-concussion syndrome. Meanwhile 17 year old Dakota Odgers will miss the first half of the upcoming season following shoulder surgery.
The good news for Swift Current is Sanvido is trending upwards. He's improved his play each season in the WHL. Last year he had a career best 15 goals and 14 assists with Seattle. He also proved to be a valuable penalty killer and after a falling out with the coaching staff late in the 2011-12 season, Sanvido re-focused and became a rock solid contributor to the T-birds in 2012-13. The question then is, why would the T-birds deem him to be expendable?
Well, you have to look at where he fits on the T-birds depth chart. Was he, as a 20 year old, going to be a top six forward? With Seth Swenson, Roberts Lipsbergs, Alexander Delnov, Connor Honey, Justin Hickman, Riley Sheen and a healthy Branden Troock returning, probably not. Meanwhile, there are younger players coming up who will need ice time too; players like Mathew Barzal, Michal Holub, Keegan Kolesar, Lane Pederson, Carter Folk and Scott Eansor. So, a lot of what Sanvido brings to the table can be duplicated by other, younger players. For instance, Sanvido's game is somewhat similar to Sheen's and Sheen is a year younger. I think if the T-birds were odds-on favorites to win it all, they probably keep Sanvido and hold off the development of some of those younger players by a year, but they're not. They are an up and coming team, so this seems like the right move at this time.
Johnson, was in a similar boat, albeit a year younger then Sanvido. He was acquired at the trade deadline this past January from Moose Jaw to help with the depth at the center position. I'm not sure he showed the consistency, especially in the face-off circle, that the T-birds wanted. I think he has a better scoring touch then he showed but he only put up six goals in 30 games and contributed just one assist in the playoffs. The T-birds recoup the draft pick they gave up to get Johnson in this deal. So, they got a half season to take a look at him up close and personal and in the end decided to go a different direction.
On paper this seems to weaken the Thunderbirds at the center position but we don't know what shuffling they'll do with the players who are returning or if they have an option B, such as a list player invited to camp who can fill that Johnson role as a veteran 3rd/4th line center.
With the trade of Sanvido, it appears the T-birds are ready to go into the season with Swenson, defenseman Jesse Forsberg and winger Mitch Elliot as their three 20 year olds. We know these things are fairly fluid and subject to change but Swenson should conservatively be a 25-30 goal scorer this year and Forsberg is the senior leader of what is still a fairly young group of defensemen.
Meanwhile, Elliot, while not your typical 20 year old in the WHL (just two goals last season), brings an element to the team that Sanvido can't...rugged, physical play. With a bevy of young forwards Seattle is going to need that element. He fits uniquely into what the T-birds need at the moment. Seattle may be the only place in the WHL where Elliot could occupy a 20 year old spot and not be counted on to be a top offensive contributor. Additionally, he is the consumate team player and will do anything the coaches ask of him and is well liked in the locker room. It's a trade off: Sanvido's potential for 15-20 goals in favor of Elliot's physicality, but if you believe you have high end young forwards (Barzal) who will produce immediately, its a trade off you can potentially afford.
Of course this trade does nothing to alleviate the glut of defenseman poised to try and earn a spot on the roster this season. You have your top six from last season in Forsberg, Shea Theodore, Jared Hauf, Griffin Foulk, Jared Smith and Evan Wardley, all returning. Where does Taylor Green fit? Does he remain a defenseman or does he push up to forward where he excelled when pressed into that duty on a limited basis last year? Then there is Kevin Wolf who enters his second season looking to get into more then the 20 games of action he saw in 2012-13. Meanwhile, 17 year old Austin Douglas, the team's 2011 2nd round bantam pick, is now signed and looking for a roster spot as is 2012 2nd round pick Ethan Bear. It's one of those good "problems" to have, more player then roster spots available, but it still has to be sorted out.
Oh, have we mentioned that the T-birds don't have any goalie on their roster with more then 18 WHL starts or more then three WHL wins to their credit? Stay tuned!
<
Dealing Sanvido leaves the T-birds with the maximum three 20 year olds on their roster. It was a given that one of the four they had on the roster this summer was going to have to be released or traded before the overage deadline, which usually comes in Mid-October. The past few seasons though, T-birds GM Russ Farwell has pared down the number of 20's on his roster early. You may recall last season when Farwell traded Chance Lund to the Broncos in the latter stages of training camp and released defenseman Brad Deagle before the start of the season. I think this is the right way of doing it, or at least the right way for the 20 year old player involved. Waiting until the deadline leaves one of those players' WHL career in limbo. By the time early to mid-October rolls around there may not be a roster spot in the league available. Trading Sanvido now puts him on a roster, with a team that wants him.
This is a good move for Sanvido, Johnson and the Broncos. Swift Current has lost three older forwards this offseason due to long term injury. 20 year old Brent Benson and 19 year old Shea Howorko have ended their playing careers because of post-concussion syndrome. Meanwhile 17 year old Dakota Odgers will miss the first half of the upcoming season following shoulder surgery.
The good news for Swift Current is Sanvido is trending upwards. He's improved his play each season in the WHL. Last year he had a career best 15 goals and 14 assists with Seattle. He also proved to be a valuable penalty killer and after a falling out with the coaching staff late in the 2011-12 season, Sanvido re-focused and became a rock solid contributor to the T-birds in 2012-13. The question then is, why would the T-birds deem him to be expendable?
Well, you have to look at where he fits on the T-birds depth chart. Was he, as a 20 year old, going to be a top six forward? With Seth Swenson, Roberts Lipsbergs, Alexander Delnov, Connor Honey, Justin Hickman, Riley Sheen and a healthy Branden Troock returning, probably not. Meanwhile, there are younger players coming up who will need ice time too; players like Mathew Barzal, Michal Holub, Keegan Kolesar, Lane Pederson, Carter Folk and Scott Eansor. So, a lot of what Sanvido brings to the table can be duplicated by other, younger players. For instance, Sanvido's game is somewhat similar to Sheen's and Sheen is a year younger. I think if the T-birds were odds-on favorites to win it all, they probably keep Sanvido and hold off the development of some of those younger players by a year, but they're not. They are an up and coming team, so this seems like the right move at this time.
Johnson, was in a similar boat, albeit a year younger then Sanvido. He was acquired at the trade deadline this past January from Moose Jaw to help with the depth at the center position. I'm not sure he showed the consistency, especially in the face-off circle, that the T-birds wanted. I think he has a better scoring touch then he showed but he only put up six goals in 30 games and contributed just one assist in the playoffs. The T-birds recoup the draft pick they gave up to get Johnson in this deal. So, they got a half season to take a look at him up close and personal and in the end decided to go a different direction.
On paper this seems to weaken the Thunderbirds at the center position but we don't know what shuffling they'll do with the players who are returning or if they have an option B, such as a list player invited to camp who can fill that Johnson role as a veteran 3rd/4th line center.
With the trade of Sanvido, it appears the T-birds are ready to go into the season with Swenson, defenseman Jesse Forsberg and winger Mitch Elliot as their three 20 year olds. We know these things are fairly fluid and subject to change but Swenson should conservatively be a 25-30 goal scorer this year and Forsberg is the senior leader of what is still a fairly young group of defensemen.
Meanwhile, Elliot, while not your typical 20 year old in the WHL (just two goals last season), brings an element to the team that Sanvido can't...rugged, physical play. With a bevy of young forwards Seattle is going to need that element. He fits uniquely into what the T-birds need at the moment. Seattle may be the only place in the WHL where Elliot could occupy a 20 year old spot and not be counted on to be a top offensive contributor. Additionally, he is the consumate team player and will do anything the coaches ask of him and is well liked in the locker room. It's a trade off: Sanvido's potential for 15-20 goals in favor of Elliot's physicality, but if you believe you have high end young forwards (Barzal) who will produce immediately, its a trade off you can potentially afford.
Of course this trade does nothing to alleviate the glut of defenseman poised to try and earn a spot on the roster this season. You have your top six from last season in Forsberg, Shea Theodore, Jared Hauf, Griffin Foulk, Jared Smith and Evan Wardley, all returning. Where does Taylor Green fit? Does he remain a defenseman or does he push up to forward where he excelled when pressed into that duty on a limited basis last year? Then there is Kevin Wolf who enters his second season looking to get into more then the 20 games of action he saw in 2012-13. Meanwhile, 17 year old Austin Douglas, the team's 2011 2nd round bantam pick, is now signed and looking for a roster spot as is 2012 2nd round pick Ethan Bear. It's one of those good "problems" to have, more player then roster spots available, but it still has to be sorted out.
Oh, have we mentioned that the T-birds don't have any goalie on their roster with more then 18 WHL starts or more then three WHL wins to their credit? Stay tuned!
<
Thursday, June 27, 2013
Another Cup and New Jersey, the Other Disney Land
One of the drawbacks to being a life long Chicago Blackhawks fan, but working for the Seattle Thunderbirds, is not being able to wear my Blackhawks paraphernalia in public. Too many around these parts confuse it with the Portland Winterhawks and think I'm being a traitor. But, I waited a long time for the Blackhawks to win the Cup so now that they've done it twice in four years, I'm proudly wearing my Blackhawks gear!
I was introduced to hockey at age three, in the mid 1960s, when my family moved from Tacoma to Aurora, Ontario Canada, but I became an unabashed Blackhawks fan as a youngster living in the suburbs of Chicago in the late '60s and early '70s. The first professional sporting event I ever attended was at the Old Chicago Stadium with my dad, Thanksgiving Eve 1970: Blackhawks 5 Montreal 3! I listened to every game, often on a small transistor radio my brother had gotten the year before at Christmas, usually with my mom. Makita, Hull, Tony-O, Magnuson along with guys like Doug Mohns, Cliff Koroll and Chico Maki were some of the idols of my youth. I kept the game program from that November night until if finally fell apart in the late '70s. the Blackhawks pennant my dad bought me as we left the stadium hung on my bedroom wall forever.
I suffered the heartache only a 3rd grader can endure later that spring when the Canadiens got their revenge by winning Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals in that same building. Until 2010 I was almost resigned to thinking that might be the closest my team would ever come to winning the Cup in my lifetime. Chicago got to the Finals a couple of times after that and lost, including another loss to Montreal (this time in six games) in 1973, but by that time my family had moved back to Tacoma and there was very little NHL news around these part back in 1972-73, making it difficult to follow my team. Certainly no Lloyd Petitt on the radio, just a box score in the local paper. In 1992 I watched despondently as they were swept by Mario Lemieux and Pittsburgh.
My family was actually living outside Toronto in 1967 when the Maple Leafs won their last Stanley Cup but I was too young to appreciate it. But I do remember watching that 1971 Chicago/Montreal Game 7 in my neighbor's basement on closed circuit TV as Chicago couldn't hold a 2-goal lead. Then late in the third period Henri Richard beat Tony Esposito to a loose puck and skated around him to score the game winner. It was just a few weeks after that, that our family loaded up the moving vans and headed back west.
This past season when the T-birds were out east, I had the fortune of meeting Frank Mahovlich in our Brandon hotel lobby. Mahovlich played in that 1971 Stanley Cup Finals for Montreal (he also played for the Leafs in '67) and when I recounted to him how he had and his teammates had broken my heart by beating my team, he was unapologetic! No, "Sorry kid!" The Blackhawks Cup win in 2010 probably lessened the sting of having Mahovlich standing there as a living reminder to my sad childhood memory!
In 2010 when Patrick Kane scored the OT game winner in Game Six against Philly, I jumped so high from my couch and whooped so loud I almost gave my mother-in-law, who was visiting from Colorado, a heart attack. This time around, after Bickell and Bolland scored 17-seconds apart and the final minute was killed off it was only my golden retriever who ran to hide as I celebrated.
I was a junior in high school when the Seattle Supersonics won their only NBA championship and I celebrated that too. I was the play-by-play voice of PLU football when they captured a National Championship in the 1990s and in 1999 I was behind the mic for the Tacoma Sabercats when they skated to a WCHL title, but the Blackhawks wins are much sweeter for me....because it's the Cup!
With the Stanley Cup Finals over, the NHL now focuses its attention from the present to the future.
This weekend childhood dreams will come true for a few hundred young men as they are selected in the National Hockey League Draft. That should include a few Thunderbirds. I agree with most of the mock drafts and expect Seattle defenseman Shea Theodore to be an early second round selection although I would not be surprised if he went somewhere in the late first round. All it takes is one G.M., or one very convincing scout, to fall in love with Theo's upside and he could be picked in round one. Either way, his selection in this Sunday's draft is a given.
There are 6-7 other T-birds who are also draft eligible. The odds are some of them will be passed over, after all, the draft is only seven rounds and teams select players from the WHL, OHL, QJHML and other Junior programs as well as the NCAA, USHL, U.S. high schools and Europe. But it is not out of the realm of possibility that when all is said and done, 3-4 T-birds have their names called from the podium.
After Theodore, the most likely T-bird to be drafted is another defenseman, Jared Hauf. You can't teach size and Hauf, at 6'5" has that in spades. But he also has the potential to become a solid, if not spectacular, stay-at-home defenseman at the next level. Seattle's defense did a good job in that seven game playoff series against Kelowna keeping it a low scoring affair; Hauf was a big reason for that. I thought his improvement from his first game as a 16 yr old, two seasons ago, to the end of last season was the biggest leap taken by anyone in that talented group of '95 born players on the team and I see him taking another giant step or two before his WHL career is over. Hauf is still learning how to use his size and reach but he understands that it's his best asset. He needs to fill out his frame and improve his skating but I think NHL teams see his potential.
Jerret Smith is another Thunderbird defenseman who could be drafted this weekend. Smith has good size, plays well at both ends of the ice and like Theodore and Hauf, his best hockey is still ahead of him. Smith is one of those players who just goes about his business without much flair or hype but just gets the job done. LIke most players at the WHL level looking to move up, his skating must improve. He may not have as high a ceiling as Theodore or Hauf, but if he reaches his full potential I can see him being a solid d-man on a third pairing in the NHL. He sees the ice well and makes a good first pass. With more time on the power play next season, his offensive numbers should improve going forward.
For Roberts Lipsbergs this will be his second year of draft eligibility. He was passed over last time but after one season playing in North America, he undoubtedly has opened some eyes with his offensive ability. Head Coach Steve Konowalchuk has said he already possesses an NHL shot. Lipsbergs has to round out his game to get to the next level, become a better player in his own end and be more consistent in the offensive zone. He's not going to get much bigger so he'll need to play tougher but he's a very smart, crafty player and I think he realizes there is an opportunity out there for him to get to the next level.
A couple of other players with an outside chance of being drafted are Conner Honey, Riley Sheen and Taylor Green. All three made Central Scoutings final rankings of draft eligible North American skaters. Of those three, Taylor Green is the most intriguing prospect to me. Green didn't make the list until the final rankings came out this spring. That means he was starting to catch the eyes of the scouts once he began to get more consistent ice time. I'm sure what garnered him some attention is his 6'6" frame. But Green also has soft hands that showed while playing as a forward, even though he is a natural defenseman. He also shows a willingness to shoot and has a decent shot from the blue line. He needs to work on his skating and get better at using his large frame, but time is on his side. So while there is an outside chance he gets drafted, if he doesn't get the call on Sunday, don't be shocked if he gets an invite to an NHL training camp. In fact, whether it is just one T-bird or 3 to 4 who get drafted this weekend, I expect a handful of T-birds to be at NHL camps this year.
I was introduced to hockey at age three, in the mid 1960s, when my family moved from Tacoma to Aurora, Ontario Canada, but I became an unabashed Blackhawks fan as a youngster living in the suburbs of Chicago in the late '60s and early '70s. The first professional sporting event I ever attended was at the Old Chicago Stadium with my dad, Thanksgiving Eve 1970: Blackhawks 5 Montreal 3! I listened to every game, often on a small transistor radio my brother had gotten the year before at Christmas, usually with my mom. Makita, Hull, Tony-O, Magnuson along with guys like Doug Mohns, Cliff Koroll and Chico Maki were some of the idols of my youth. I kept the game program from that November night until if finally fell apart in the late '70s. the Blackhawks pennant my dad bought me as we left the stadium hung on my bedroom wall forever.
I suffered the heartache only a 3rd grader can endure later that spring when the Canadiens got their revenge by winning Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals in that same building. Until 2010 I was almost resigned to thinking that might be the closest my team would ever come to winning the Cup in my lifetime. Chicago got to the Finals a couple of times after that and lost, including another loss to Montreal (this time in six games) in 1973, but by that time my family had moved back to Tacoma and there was very little NHL news around these part back in 1972-73, making it difficult to follow my team. Certainly no Lloyd Petitt on the radio, just a box score in the local paper. In 1992 I watched despondently as they were swept by Mario Lemieux and Pittsburgh.
My family was actually living outside Toronto in 1967 when the Maple Leafs won their last Stanley Cup but I was too young to appreciate it. But I do remember watching that 1971 Chicago/Montreal Game 7 in my neighbor's basement on closed circuit TV as Chicago couldn't hold a 2-goal lead. Then late in the third period Henri Richard beat Tony Esposito to a loose puck and skated around him to score the game winner. It was just a few weeks after that, that our family loaded up the moving vans and headed back west.
This past season when the T-birds were out east, I had the fortune of meeting Frank Mahovlich in our Brandon hotel lobby. Mahovlich played in that 1971 Stanley Cup Finals for Montreal (he also played for the Leafs in '67) and when I recounted to him how he had and his teammates had broken my heart by beating my team, he was unapologetic! No, "Sorry kid!" The Blackhawks Cup win in 2010 probably lessened the sting of having Mahovlich standing there as a living reminder to my sad childhood memory!
In 2010 when Patrick Kane scored the OT game winner in Game Six against Philly, I jumped so high from my couch and whooped so loud I almost gave my mother-in-law, who was visiting from Colorado, a heart attack. This time around, after Bickell and Bolland scored 17-seconds apart and the final minute was killed off it was only my golden retriever who ran to hide as I celebrated.
I was a junior in high school when the Seattle Supersonics won their only NBA championship and I celebrated that too. I was the play-by-play voice of PLU football when they captured a National Championship in the 1990s and in 1999 I was behind the mic for the Tacoma Sabercats when they skated to a WCHL title, but the Blackhawks wins are much sweeter for me....because it's the Cup!
With the Stanley Cup Finals over, the NHL now focuses its attention from the present to the future.
This weekend childhood dreams will come true for a few hundred young men as they are selected in the National Hockey League Draft. That should include a few Thunderbirds. I agree with most of the mock drafts and expect Seattle defenseman Shea Theodore to be an early second round selection although I would not be surprised if he went somewhere in the late first round. All it takes is one G.M., or one very convincing scout, to fall in love with Theo's upside and he could be picked in round one. Either way, his selection in this Sunday's draft is a given.
There are 6-7 other T-birds who are also draft eligible. The odds are some of them will be passed over, after all, the draft is only seven rounds and teams select players from the WHL, OHL, QJHML and other Junior programs as well as the NCAA, USHL, U.S. high schools and Europe. But it is not out of the realm of possibility that when all is said and done, 3-4 T-birds have their names called from the podium.
After Theodore, the most likely T-bird to be drafted is another defenseman, Jared Hauf. You can't teach size and Hauf, at 6'5" has that in spades. But he also has the potential to become a solid, if not spectacular, stay-at-home defenseman at the next level. Seattle's defense did a good job in that seven game playoff series against Kelowna keeping it a low scoring affair; Hauf was a big reason for that. I thought his improvement from his first game as a 16 yr old, two seasons ago, to the end of last season was the biggest leap taken by anyone in that talented group of '95 born players on the team and I see him taking another giant step or two before his WHL career is over. Hauf is still learning how to use his size and reach but he understands that it's his best asset. He needs to fill out his frame and improve his skating but I think NHL teams see his potential.
Jerret Smith is another Thunderbird defenseman who could be drafted this weekend. Smith has good size, plays well at both ends of the ice and like Theodore and Hauf, his best hockey is still ahead of him. Smith is one of those players who just goes about his business without much flair or hype but just gets the job done. LIke most players at the WHL level looking to move up, his skating must improve. He may not have as high a ceiling as Theodore or Hauf, but if he reaches his full potential I can see him being a solid d-man on a third pairing in the NHL. He sees the ice well and makes a good first pass. With more time on the power play next season, his offensive numbers should improve going forward.
For Roberts Lipsbergs this will be his second year of draft eligibility. He was passed over last time but after one season playing in North America, he undoubtedly has opened some eyes with his offensive ability. Head Coach Steve Konowalchuk has said he already possesses an NHL shot. Lipsbergs has to round out his game to get to the next level, become a better player in his own end and be more consistent in the offensive zone. He's not going to get much bigger so he'll need to play tougher but he's a very smart, crafty player and I think he realizes there is an opportunity out there for him to get to the next level.
A couple of other players with an outside chance of being drafted are Conner Honey, Riley Sheen and Taylor Green. All three made Central Scoutings final rankings of draft eligible North American skaters. Of those three, Taylor Green is the most intriguing prospect to me. Green didn't make the list until the final rankings came out this spring. That means he was starting to catch the eyes of the scouts once he began to get more consistent ice time. I'm sure what garnered him some attention is his 6'6" frame. But Green also has soft hands that showed while playing as a forward, even though he is a natural defenseman. He also shows a willingness to shoot and has a decent shot from the blue line. He needs to work on his skating and get better at using his large frame, but time is on his side. So while there is an outside chance he gets drafted, if he doesn't get the call on Sunday, don't be shocked if he gets an invite to an NHL training camp. In fact, whether it is just one T-bird or 3 to 4 who get drafted this weekend, I expect a handful of T-birds to be at NHL camps this year.
Wednesday, June 5, 2013
One Year Ago
It's hard to believe it has been one year since my good friend and broadcast partner passed away. Bruce McDonald may be gone, but he is not forgotten. On the one year anniversary of his passing, his 90 year old grandmother, Bertha, is in poor health. Please keep her in your thoughts.
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